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Rogers and Upton join Walberg, Bentivolio, and Benishek among those in trouble

by: Neon Vincent

Tue Oct 15, 2013 at 00:58:19 AM EDT

From Mr. Rogers Neighborhood.

At my blog, I excerpted from my Examiner.com article Walberg losing to generic Democrat by nine percent: poll.

This morning, MoveOn.org released the results of a poll it commissioned, one that contains bad news for U.S. Representative Tim Walberg, who represents rural northern, western, and southern Washtenaw County in the U.S. House of Representatives as part of the Seventh District.  The poll, conducted by Public Policy Polling, showed that Walberg would lose an election held today to a generic Democratic challenger by nine percentage points, 51% to 42%, after poll respondents were told he supported the federal government shutdown.
In addition to Walberg, both Dan Benishek (MI-01) and Kerry Bentivolio (MI-11) were the other two Michigan Representatives among the twenty-one whose seats were at risk of being lost next year

Yesterday morning, MoveOn and PPP posted More Republican House Seats in Jeopardy on Scribd, which showed that two more Michigan Representatives, Fred Upton (MI-06) and Mike Rogers (MI-08) could lose their seats next year.  Follow over the jump for the details.

Neon Vincent :: Rogers and Upton join Walberg, Bentivolio, and Benishek among those in trouble
Bolding mine.
Twelve new surveys conducted this week in GOP-held House districts indicate that an even greater number of Republican incumbents are in danger of being voted out of office next year thanks to the government shutdown.

Public Policy Polling has now surveyed a total of 36 House districts in two weeks, and the results show Republican incumbents are in serious danger in 29 out of the 36.
The districts surveyed this week in which a generic Democratic challenger leads prior to any information being provided about the shutdown are:

CA-25, FL-27, MI-06, PA-06, WA-08

The additional districts in which a generic Democratic challenger leads after voters are told the Republican incumbent supported a shutdown are:

MI-08, NJ-03, VA-10

The districts in which the incumbent Republican leads throughout the survey are:

NJ-02, NY-02, WA-03, WI-01

MoveOn has a map showing all of the Republican representatives who could lose next year here.

Fred Upton was losing 51% to 38% to a Generic Democrat even before the poll respondents were told he supported the shutdown.  After they were told of his support, he was losing 56% to 36%.  That puts him in Bentivolio territory.  Bad Santa* was losing 53% to 37% before people were told of his support of the shutdown, 54% to 39% after.

As for Mike Rogers, he was ahead 46% to 43% before the residents of his district were told of his support, but fell behind 47% to 44%.

I had no idea Upton was in such trouble, bad enough that the shutdown didn't matter much.  As for Rogers, the shutdown could make all the difference between his keeping his seat and losing it next election.  So much for him as Pac-Man!

*Speaking of whom, here is the link to the segment about him on All In with Chris Hayes: Rep. Kerry Bentivolio, running the country.
Chris Hayes takes a closer look at Rep. Kerry Bentivolio, R-Mich. A former Santa-for-hire, Bentivolio is now one of the tea partiers running the country.

LOL, Kerry Bentivolio, Bad Santa.

Originally posted at Crazy Eddie's Motie News.  Crossposted to Daily Kos.

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That Chris Hayes video about Bentivolio makes me want to cry
Except for the clip of Bentivolio butchering "American Samoa," everything else in the video was known a year ago and could have been used--along with the anti-Bentivolio comments from establishment Republicans--by the national and state Democratic Party to defeat him. It wasn't. Oy.

A government that robs Peter to pay Paul can always count on the support of Paul.

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