A SoapBlox Politics Blog
[Mobile Edition]
About
- About Us
- Email Us (news/tips)
- Editorial Policy
- Posting Guidelines
- Advertise Here
Feedburner

Subscribe to Michlib daily email summary. (Preview)
Enter address:

Donate
Become a sponsor and support our work.

 MichLib sponsor list

Michigan Political Blog Ad Network

Advertise Liberally

50 State Ad Network

Some people who are running for office this year

by: Eric B.

Wed Jan 29, 2014 at 16:31:13 PM EST


Making the rounds on social media yesterday was word that Brenda Lawrence has jumped into the race for the 14th Congressional District. At the same time, a poll was released by either the campaign or people associated with the campaign or someone showing that, as of November last year, while no one has terribly great name recognition Lawrence tops the list.

Oh yeah, the Holland Sentinel has an article about some Republican kid running for a state representative seat out there. He has no shot of winning, and his answers were pretty stock Tea Party ("I'm no ideologue, I'm an independent who represents my constituents ... blah, blah, blah"), so what say we not worry about him and just forget I ever brought it up.

Eric B. :: Some people who are running for office this year
Tags: (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email

Some people running for office... (0.00 / 0)
I think it will come down to Rudy Hobbs and Brenda Lawrence with Bert Johnson having an outside shot. Lawrence has the name recognition as of now but Rudy Hobbs will probably raise the most money, coming out recently saying he has raised over $250,000 already.  

Looking further at the numbers (4.00 / 4)
it appears as though Brenda Lawrence may be able to go toe-to-toe on the fundraising front during the course of this election, unlike the 2012 congressional race.

In the first month of her campaigning Brenda Lawrence stated she raised $100,000.  According to the Federal Election Commission (FEC) database, her haul at the end of 2013 was $104,364.  Her burn rate appears minimal, with $10,695 in disbursements.

According to the FEC database, Rudy Hobbs took his first contributions in mid-May, 2013.  His total contributions as of September 30 was $197,946.  The figures for the most recent reporting period aren't available via the FEC yet, but his recent public statements reflect $275,000 raised to date with $200,000 cash on hand.  

As a portion of total funds raised, he has spent over 27 percent of his funds so far (if I am doing my napkin math correctly). More importantly, that means that approx. $77,000 was brought in during the last three months, for a monthly average of $25,667 raised each month.  The initial months of the Hobbs campaign brought in on average $50,000 each month, so his contributions are not coming in at the same pace.

I don't mean to discount his fundraising and he obviously gets the boost from the substantial head start, but the trends are noteworthy.

At the very least, it would seem Lawrence is well on the way to vastly outpacing her 2012 fundraising.  According to the FEC database, Lawrence raised $134,989 in 2012.  So, if her recent weeks were at least half as productive vis-a-vis fundraising, she probably has already eclipsed that sum.  

At this point in 2012 Lawrence had not raised anything that was in the 2011 reporting periods, but had only raised $63,000 by March 31, 2012, with $39,000 cash on hand.

In his 2012 bid in the neighboring 13th congressional district, Bert Johnson raised $128,685 during the cycle and had over $146,000 in expenditures.  According to the FEC database, the Johnson campaign committee has a remaining debt of $17,625.  No fundraising activity in the 2014 election cycle is being displayed as reported with the FEC.

Stephen Dunwoody's campaign raised $20,061 as of September 30.  Jessica McCall's campaign raised $8,856 as of September 30. No other figures are reported as of yet for those respective campaigns.

Nothing is reported yet with the FEC for Vincent Gregory's campaign or Maurice Morton's campaign, apart from their statements of candidacy

As of September 30, 2013, former Congressman Hansen Clarke's federal campaign account had a balance of $2,181.

To give context to Lawrence's $135,000 raised/spent in 2012 in relation to the other candidates, then-Congressman Hansen Clarke spent $940,000 and Congressman Gary Peters spent $1,791,000.

Great Lakes, Great Times.


[ Parent ]
Sorry for the lengthy comment... (0.00 / 0)
...I started putzing around the FEC campaign finance reporting portal and went overboard.  

Great Lakes, Great Times.

[ Parent ]
Numbers (0.00 / 0)
It's good info to look at. It is definitely possible that Lawrence will outraise Hobbs even with the head start. Unless Bert Johnson or Gregory can somehow catch up with their fundraising, which I don't see happening, it'll be a two horse race. Lawrence right now has the name recognition and could catch up or pass in fundraising, but Hobbs will still finish with a strong amount of money and has some pretty big endorsements behind him.

[ Parent ]
Think Hobbs fundrasing Problem (3.00 / 1)
Is who his staff is and who they would connect him to for fundraising.

In theory they would be trying to water from the same watering hole as Peters, who am sure has drain a good deal of the money there.

They will need to find a new source of funds.


[ Parent ]
We want MORE like that, not fewer. (0.00 / 0)
Substance!  Much better than blather!  Thanks.

[ Parent ]
It's just not possible... (3.00 / 1)
...but very likely Lawrence outraises Hobbs.  I say this because I'm pretty sure she has the 2010 mailing list from her and Bernero's 2010 gubernatorial campaign.  I got an email asking for money, today, and I don't even live in Southeast Michigan.  This must mean she has my email address from the 2010 gubernatorial ticket.  Because of this (and to a lesser extent her 2008 run), she's got a helluva lost of potential donors, certainly more than than Hobbs unless he can wrangle some from his connections to Granholm or something.  I'd call her the front-runner, if even she got into the race later.

[ Parent ]

Search
Progressive Blogroll
For MI Bloggers:
- MI Bloggers Facebook
- MI Bloggers Myspace
- MI Bloggers PartyBuilder
- MI Bloggers Wiki

Statewide:
- Blogging for Michigan
- Call of the Senate Dems
- [Con]serving Michigan (Michigan LCV)
- DailyKos (Michigan tag)
- Enviro-Mich List Serve archives
- Democratic Underground, Michigan Forum
- Jack Lessenberry
- JenniferGranholm.com
- LeftyBlogs (Michigan)
- MI Eye on Bishop
- Michigan Coalition for Progress
- Michigan Messenger
- MI Idea (Michigan Equality)
- Planned Parenthood Advocates of Michigan
- Rainbow Mittens
- The Upper Hand (Progress Michigan)

Upper Peninsula:
- Keweenaw Now
- Lift Bridges and Mine Shafts
- Save the Wild UP

Western Michigan:
- Great Lakes Guy
- Great Lakes, Great Times, Great Scott
- Mostly Sunny with a Chance of Gay
- Public Pulse
- West Michigan Politics
- West Michigan Rising
- Windmillin'

Mid-Michigan:
- Among the Trees
- Blue Chips (CMU College Democrats Blog)
- Christine Barry
- Conservative Media
- Far Left Field
- Graham Davis
- Honest Errors
- ICDP:Dispatch (Isabella County Democratic Party Blog)
- Liberal, Loud and Proud
- Livingston County Democratic Party Blog
- MI Blog
- Mid-Michigan DFA
- Pohlitics
- Random Ramblings of a Somewhat Common Man
- Waffles of Compromise
- YAF Watch

Flint/Bay Area/Thumb:
- Bay County Democratic Party
- Blue November
- East Michigan Blue
- Genesee County Young Democrats
- Greed, Eggs, and Ham
- Jim Stamas Watch
- Meddling Outsider
- Saginaw County Democratic Party Blog
- Stone Soup Musings
- Voice of Mordor

Southeast Michigan:
- A2Politico
- arblogger
- Arbor Update
- Congressman John Conyers (CD14)
- Mayor Craig Covey
- Councilman Ron Suarez
- Democracy for Metro Detroit
- Detroit Skeptic
- Detroit Uncovered (formerly "Fire Jerry Oliver")
- Grosse Pointe Democrats
- I Wish This Blog Was Louder
- Kicking Ass Ann Arbor (UM College Democrats Blog)
- LJ's Blogorific
- Mark Maynard
- Michigan Progress
- Motor City Liberal
- North Oakland Dems
- Oakland Democratic Politics
- Our Michigan
- Peters for Congress (CD09)
- PhiKapBlog
- Polygon, the Dancing Bear
- Rust Belt Blues
- Third City
- Thunder Down Country
- Trusty Getto
- Unhinged

MI Congressional
District Watch Blogs:
- Mr. Rogers' Neighborhood (CD08)

MI Campaigns:
MI Democratic Orgs:
MI Progressive Orgs:
MI Misc.:
National Alternative Media:
National Blogs:
Powered by: SoapBlox