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Peters names new campaign manager

by: Eric B.

Thu Mar 06, 2014 at 16:56:30 PM EST


With Michigan looming as a now key Senate race, Democratic Rep. Gary Peters, who is locked in a tight battle with Republican Terri Lynn Land, has replaced his campaign manager.

Paul Tencher, who ran now-Sen. Joe Donnelly’s winning campaign for the Democrats in Indiana last cycle, will take over as the head of Peters’s campaign operation. Tencher will replace Julie Petrick, who is stepping aside for personal reasons, Peters said in a statement.

“Paul is a seasoned campaign manager with an impressive record of winning races,” Peters said. “He will work closely with all of our Michigan supporters and allies to build an unprecedented grass-roots campaign that is focused on turning out voters and on the issues that matter most to middle-class families in Michigan.”

Go read.

Eric B. :: Peters names new campaign manager
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I like
I like what I heard from Peters either from earlier this week or late last week when he said he's going to get more personally involved in calling out Land for lies.  I was never worried about this race in the sense that I was afraid Peters could lose.  What I was worried about the margin of the win, because the bigger the margin, the more gains we make at the state legislative and maybe even congressional level.  And, in a close race with Snyder, a big Peters victory could pull Schauer across the finish line.

Between every big media outfit in the state basically calling bullshit on the AFP ads, and Peters striking out hard against Land for her auto bailout comments, I'm feeling very good that this thing has heated up and that come November, this will be at least a 10-point margin if even Peters just decided to coast (which isn't going to happen).  

What we need is for him to absolutely run up the score on Land like what Debbie and Carl did to their opponents.  I don't think think he can get 20+ points on Land, as this is an open seat and while Michigan is blue it's not Masschusetts blue.  But, I hope he fights for every single vote, and I look forward to Mr. Tencher helping in getting to that goal.

Michigan elected
Spencer Abraham over Bob Carr in 1994.

If the electorate that turns out mirrors 2010, 1998, 1994, et cetera, who knows what will come of this Senate race.

Great Lakes, Great Times.

[ Parent ]
I know
It's not going to  look like any of those years, and you had to go back to '94, which should tell you something.  Michigan has gotten pretty consistently bluer at the federal level.  This isn't about if Peters will win, but by how much.

[ Parent ]
I had to go back to 1994... because that is the last time we have had an open U.S. Senate seat.  The time before was 1976 when Riegle was elected, if I recall correctly.

Not all federal races and not all election cycles are created equal.

If there was an open U.S. Senate seat in our state in 2010, well...  

Great Lakes, Great Times.

[ Parent ]
I agree
While I believe Peters starts out as a small favorite, turnout will be key. If the Dems can turn out their voters in the cities, the close-in suburbs, and the college towns, Peters should win easily, and the state offices should be winnable too. If not, then say hello to Sen. Land (ewww!!).

[ Parent ]
we would be stuck with that for six years.  

I remember as a young teenager how frustrated I was that we had a Republican U.S. Senator.  Debbie Stabenow beating Spencer Abraham in 2000 was so thrilling for me that it was almost enough to assuage the disappointment of the Al Gore-George Bush saga.

Great Lakes, Great Times.

[ Parent ]
1994 was a whole 'nother era
And Terri Lynn Land is closer to Pete Hoekstra than Spence Abraham.

So long as we hit the 2006 numbers (as opposed to 2010), many more Democrats will win.

"The two most common elements in the universe are hydrogen and stupidity." ~ Harlan Ellison

[ Parent ]
I would say in terms of voter appeal, Land is stronger than Abraham or Hoekstra.  I would rather have Gary Peters running against Hoekstra or Abraham this year.  Will Land's initial recognition with voters hold up as a lead throughout the campaign?  No, I don't think so, but that does depend on the campaign dynamics.  

Yes I agree that it was a different era, but we are still talking non-incumbent Senate race.  Debbie Stabenow and Carl Levin were and are known brands for the voters, and Stabenow's prodigious fundraising was a solid defense in previous cycles.

We cannot wish ourselves into the outcome we want.  We must work to ensure it.

I pray for 2006 or 2008 turnout, but I must still consider the prospect of 1994, 1998, 2002 or 2010 turnout.  And despite that, as a non-apples-to-apples food for thought point: In 2006, Land won a landslide re-election.  

I honestly do not believe Michigan voters weigh the difference between federal races against state races much; in many federal races, we've had some excellent candidates, with ample resources and flawed opponents.  When the same is true at the state level, we often win as well -- but that equation of excellent candidates, ample resources and flawed opponents doesn't occur as regularly.

Great Lakes, Great Times.

[ Parent ]
Gary Peters is "losing" to the ad campaign, not Terri Lynn Land
AFP is squandering all sorts of money fighting the same battles as in 2010 and 2012: All sound and fury, no long term damage. Terri Lynn Land might as well be "Generic Republican" for all the impact she has on the current Senate race polling.

Once Land emerges from her protective right-wing cocoon and actually campaigns, THEN polling might actually make sense.

Rep. Peters doesn't have to fight the ads, he just has to outlast them.

I think there's a growing Obamacare-hating fatigue setting in among the electorate. The ACA is settled law, the Supreme Court ruled it constitutional almost two years ago, and too many people are now receiving coverage.

The AFP ads come from the same mindset as the 50 futile votes in the House to repeal or roll back the ACA. There's such a narrow appeal to the base, and most everyone else sees this obsession as absurd.

The only thing I've heard the Land campaign might be doing (aside from laying low while the AFP campaign runs) is to play the Kandia Milton card, trying to make the tenuous connection to Kwame Kilpatrick with nothing more than insinuation.

What that tells me is that the GOP has nothing on Gary Peters that wasn't already played out by Joe Knollenberg and Rocky Raczkowski.

"The two most common elements in the universe are hydrogen and stupidity." ~ Harlan Ellison

Well said.
I agree with that.

Great Lakes, Great Times.

[ Parent ]
I'm Sorry
But that was exactly what I was getting at, and you took issue with it.  Gary Peters literally just got started going after Land last week or this week, and she's been at him for months to little avail.  This is not a race, even now, and even less so when Peters really gets to work.  I think you're having a difficult time between discerning what I'm putting off as confidence from delusion.  

Of course, anything can happen, but this is still very much a Dem-favored race.  Dems have to start acting like winners when their actually favored instead of concern-trolling.

[ Parent ]
I apologize for my difficulty, then...

Great Lakes, Great Times.

[ Parent ]
I am very concerned about the chance that Carl Levin is replaced by Republican Land. And it will be because of turnout.

It seems that outside of those of us who follow the "game", there is very little interest in politics and elections this year. Whether it is disgust at Washington, lack of interest in the important issues or just typical mid-term election drop off, I am very concerned that Michigan will see more 2010 results than 2006 results as a result of our base not being motivated.

From an Illinois perspective, we sit just over a week away from the Primary, and there is next to nothing being said about the election beyond the Tribune addressing the Republican gubernatorial primary. There is nothing in the way of "street chatter", I've not received a single phone call and only one mailed flyer.

And the first primary of the year, in Texas, had significant drop off on turnout versus less competitive races in 2010.

What if we held an election and no one showed up....except the right wing?

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