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Mike Rogers endorses Mike Bishop

by: Eric B.

Mon Apr 07, 2014 at 11:01:12 AM EDT

From MIRS.

Rep. Mike ROGERS (R-Brighton) today endorsed Republican Mike BISHOP as Rogers' pick to be his replacement in Congress, according to an announcement.

Bishop, a former Senate majority leader, hopes to become the Republican nominee in the 8th. It's a seat Rogers has held since 2001.

He goes on to note Mike Bishop's obstructionist behavior as Senate Majority Leader and says it's exactly the sort of thing that is needed in Congress.

Eric B. :: Mike Rogers endorses Mike Bishop
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Mikes of the world, unite.
You. Must. Like. Mike.  

Great Lakes, Great Times.

Back to substance, though
Will many votes move with a Mike Rogers endorsement? I can't picture that it would, although it would send a strong signal to potential donors...

Great Lakes, Great Times.

[ Parent ]
Might "clear the field," so to speak
Many Republicans who would otherwise think of running might now back down, thinking that they wouldn't want to run against the incumbent's pick.

Now on Great Lakes, Great Times, Great Scott: Cotter vs. Jesus and Reagan

[ Parent ]
I could be quite wrong,
but Bishop strikes me as a house of cards in a Republican primary.

Great Lakes, Great Times.

[ Parent ]
Mike Bishop just got a little bit
schooled by Jessica Cooper in a run for Oakland County Prosecutor.  L. Brooks and Mike Bouchard stood next to Bryan Barnett when he announced.  

[ Parent ]
Still, there are others who might not run because of this (nt)

Now on Great Lakes, Great Times, Great Scott: Cotter vs. Jesus and Reagan

[ Parent ]
How much did Cooper beat him by?  I'm also interested to see where in the county both of them pulled their votes.  I suspect she probably ran up the score in the sooutheast, but I'm also interested to see where else in the couny she was at least competitive if you have that information.  

I think this information could show us a baseline for someone like Barb in some of the redder townships and such she'll have to at least be competitive in.  BTW, anyone know how red Rochester and Rochester Hills are?  It's a fairly large community, but when you consider the two Republicans who've announced are from these two communities, I wonder if resources should be put towards registering and turnout more voters in Ingham County?

[ Parent ]
Bishop v. Cooper.
Mike Bishop (REP)  45.30% 274,068
Jessica R. Cooper (DEM)  51.55% 311,874
Steven Afton (LIB)  3.00% 18,156
WRITE-IN  0.15% 882
TOTAL 604,980

Specific Precinct Results Here: http://results.enr.clarityelec...

Here are the results from all races for that same Election Day 2012, per the Oakland County Clerk: http://results.enr.clarityelec...

Rochester and Rochester Hills are traditionally heavily Republican. It has high income and higher education attainment percentages. There is a substantial subset of the population that are Indo-American and Asian Pacific Islander. Rochester Hills had in recent years elected an Indo-American member of their City Council.

In recent decades, they have trended more Democratic with more favorable results for top of the ticket Democrats such as Obama (2008 specifically), Carl Levin and Debbie Stabenow than for other portions of the ticket. Nonetheless...

In Rochester:
DeVos got 55% to Granholm's 43.60% in 2006
Raw numbers, for context: 2,900 to 2,299
Bouchard got 55.78% to Stabenow's 42.66% in 2006
Joe Knollenberg got 60.51% to Nancy Skinner's 37.57%
Mike Bishop got over 66% to his '06 LaRouche Dem opponent
John Garfield got 57% to a Rochester Councilman in '06

In Rochester Hills:
DeVos got 53.59% to Granholm's 45.17%
Raw Numbers, for context: 16,485 to 13,895
Knollenberg got 58.80% to Skinner's 38.98%
Bishop got 63.76% to Barrera's 33.69%

Speaking of Bishop and 2006 (the last time he was on the ballot before the 2012 prosecutor's race), it is a real shame that this seat was completely ignored by party candidate recruiters. Obviously it was not a prospect for scarce resources, but to permit a LaRouche Democrat to receive the nomination uncontested was... bad. I informed the caucus of his m.o. at the time. Without much effort, with a Democratic Party activist on the ballot, Bishop would've more narrowly carried the seat (or lost it in a fluke). If I recall correctly, he got 56% in 2006 in a pretty darn Republican seat. Look at those atrocious Rochester area numbers: That could have been seriously shaved down. Obviously it was far from clear that the voters were going to side with the Democrats so solidly that year, but when LaRouche-inspired candidates are the nominees for our state senate seats we are sending the message to voters that "we clearly don't want you to vote for all of our candidates" or "fingers crossed that you don't elect some of our nominees".

Great Lakes, Great Times.

[ Parent ]
Significant as Republicans Go
This is a great example, as has been raised earlier, of how powerful the pen was to the Republicans.

Despite Bishop being in way over his head, and having his head handed to him by Judge Cooper, this endorsement will clear the field that may have grown out of Livingston, and probably gets Bishop the nod by cobbling together a solid Livingston win, a decent win in the rest of the non-Oakland portion, and then a battle with Barnett in the remaining Oakland portion. While Brooksie still has clout for reasons unknown in Oakland, he and Bouchard do nothing for Barnett outside of Oakland.

This said, were the district still a fair fight, as it was in 2000, someone like Bishop would have been obliterated in November. In 2014, he is likely to go to Washington.

First piece falls into place
This is a fairly major endorsement, given that it's from the incumbent congressman.  This is certainly a signal to the money where it should go when this race gets started.  I think of the remaining candidates, Bishop is pretty clearly the most formidable in the general, if only because of name recognition.

As I've said before, though, he has some pretty glaring weaknesses that can easily be exploited.  His involvement in Michigan's government shutdown may be a plus in his primary; it won't be in the general, and I'd use the term "government shutdown" and "obstructionist" again and again if he ends up getting the nomination.

Still, in a district tilted in the Republican's favor, we've got some groundwork to do.  We can't just expect indies and maybe some naturally right-tilting indies to see the clown that we've seen all these years, Michigan's very own Orange John Boehner.  We'll need a good candidate - and Barb Byrum will make a better-than-good candidates.  But, we'll also need to go negative on Bishop hard.  He's a fool and the very worst of Michigan politics; Michigan needs to be educated about this if they don't know, or have their memories jogged about how he was central in every obstructionist action of the Republican-controlled state senate.

Shutdown, etc.
Not only that, but he can be accosted for what he did to take away the Michigan Promise Scholarship. That could be quite a motivator in a district that includes MSU (and maybe Oakland U. - anyone know?) in its boundaries.

And because it's been a few years, most of today's undergrads didn't have a chance to benefit from the Promise Scholarship. To say nothing of the higher tuition rates that is being forced on students, thanks in part to Bishop and his successors.

"Because of Mike Bishop, you missed out on thousands of dollars."

"You're paying the price for Mike Bishop's political ambitions."

Now on Great Lakes, Great Times, Great Scott: Cotter vs. Jesus and Reagan

[ Parent ]
Come on McMillin, Amash is rooting for you!
Headline from MIRS: "Rogers Backs Bishop In 8th; Amash Likes McMillin"

Great Lakes, Great Times.

Byrum is a no, Schertzing is likely.

Great Lakes, Great Times.

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