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Most of the people who are running for office this year - the near-final list

by: ScottyUrb

Tue Apr 22, 2014 at 17:33:36 PM EDT


It's 5:30 - do you know who your candidates are?

Here's the unofficial list of Democratic and Republican candidates for Governor, US Senate and House, state legislature, and judgeships. Keep in mind that candidates have until 4:00 on Friday to withdraw.

Gongwer had a piece today about some of the big surprises of filing deadlines past, including the Great Schmidt-storm of 2012 and a guy who tried to run for Governor against Posthumus and Schwarz but who didn't get enough valid signatures. 

No huge surprises of that sort today, but a few remarks below the fold.

 

ScottyUrb :: Most of the people who are running for office this year - the near-final list

Governor and US Senate

No surprise here. It does seem a little odd that, in a year in which the governorship is hotly contested and the US Senate seat is open, neither race has a competitive primary.

Congress

It will officially be a three-way battle with Barnett, Bishop, and McMillin in the 8th. Meanwhile, John Moolenaar's path to Congress is complicated by the candidacies of Paul Mitchell and Peter Konetchy (the latter of whom got in the race while Camp was still expected to run).

I'm surprised that Jeffrey Hank (D-8th) and Raymond Mullins (D-12th) ended up filing. Brian Ellis only turned in 1,200 signatures in the 3rd, while Douglas North only turned in 1,110 in the 7th. Given that 1,000 of them need to be valid, don't be surprised if Amash and Walberg supporters challenge these signatures. 

State Senate

District 2 features five Democrats, including incumbent Bert Johnson, John Olumba, Some Dude, and - get this - two people named Lemmons who live at the same address! I'd expect one of them to withdraw their name before this Friday's withdrawal deadline. 

After filing only 551 signatures (cutting it close, since 500 needed to be valid), Patrick Colbeck withdrew his candidacy and then re-filed with the $100 filing fee. 

In the open-seat 28th (a reliably Republican seat), current Rep. Peter MacGregor faces off against a guy named Kevin Green (who may or may not be this Kevin Green). Also in the race: Tommy Brann of Brann's steakhouse fame. More people are running for the right to Replace MacGRegor in the 73rd House seat.

Geoff Hansen (R-34th) has to face a primary challenge from Nick Sundquist for the right to lose to Cathy Forbes in the fall.

Democrats Chris LaMarche and Chris Germain filed to run against Tom Casperson in the 38th. LaMarche only filed 566 signatures (again, cutting it very close), while Germain went with the filing fee. I don't know much about LaMarche, but I do know Germain is kind of young. Oftentimes young candidates running in swing districts are met with skepticism in terms of their ability to win a tough race, but we'll see how it all plays out.

State House

Three candidates will vie for the right to lose to Winnie Brinks in the 76th: Keith Allard, who ran as an independent in 2012, as well as former GR city comptrollers Donijo DeJonge and Stan Milanowski.

One of the few other area in which Dems have to play defense is the 91st district - Holly Hughes, who was elected in 2010 but lost in 2012, has two primary opponents.

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I noticed a number of non-contested GOP seats (0.00 / 0)
on the west side of the state.

And I will say it again: Look at all of those Republican incumbents facing primary challenges!  Times have changed.

Great Lakes, Great Times.


I only count 3 House races w/o a Dem Candidate (0.00 / 0)
All of them in Ottawa County - I don't mean to sound like a big cheerleader but that's pretty decent work from the Caucus and local parties (outside of Ottawa County).

Also, the Repubs did a decent job of finding their few random party members in the City to run in the Detroit HDs.


[ Parent ]
Obviously it could always be worse (0.00 / 0)
But it is important to have candidates filed in all state legislative districts.

Great Lakes, Great Times.

[ Parent ]
They've announced that candidates have filed in all 110 races (4.00 / 2)
From their website:

Today, Michigan House Democrats announced that Democratic candidates have filed in all 110 state house districts.

"We are excited to field such bright and talented candidates this year," said House Democratic Leader Tim Greimel (D-Auburn Hills). "These hard-working men and women will put us in the majority - allowing the House Democratic Caucus to undo the damage done by legislative Republicans and to set the foundation for a strong Michigan future."

The House Democratic Campaign Committee has traveled all over Michigan and worked in a collaborative effort with local Democratic Party organizations, community leaders, allied groups and elected officials to identify the best candidates possible for each district.

"We have put a premium on finding hard-working candidates with great community profiles," said Representative Brandon Dillon (D-Grand Rapids). "In all parts of the state we have people who are going to make great candidates and even better legislators."

For the seats you mentioned, candidates filed in Ottawa County, so it's possible that the county clerk hasn't yet sent the notices into the secretary of state's office.

Now on Great Lakes, Great Times, Great Scott: The Grand Rapids Press, which rarely endorses Democrats, backs Winnie Brinks


[ Parent ]
Update: Candidates filed in Ottawa, per MLive (0.00 / 0)
Voters in the Ottawa County districts will be able to vote for Democrats for State House.

Now on Great Lakes, Great Times, Great Scott: The Grand Rapids Press, which rarely endorses Democrats, backs Winnie Brinks

[ Parent ]
Excellent! (0.00 / 0)
Important.  Glad it came to pass.

Great Lakes, Great Times.

[ Parent ]
Big primaries here (0.00 / 0)
While Joe Hune is uncontested, there's a rush for the open state rep seats here.

4 Republicans running in the 42nd, and 5 Republicans running in the 47th


"He who would trade liberty for some temporary security, deserves neither liberty nor security" - Benjamin Franklin

Opinions are my own and not that of LCRP


How about 8 in the 104th? (0.00 / 0)
That's like the 11th on the Dem side.  

I expected more Repub primary activity in the 45th - does one of the two running in the open seat primary have a consensus behind them?  I do think that VanderRoest will give whoever is the Repub nominee a good general election battle.


[ Parent ]
Senate Primaries (4.00 / 1)
The 2nd, 4th, 5th, and 11th all have very contested Dem primaries.

2nd - Although Olumba is a sitting State Rep. I would be very surprised if Bert Johnson lost this, especially since it seems like Olumba can't keep himself out of trouble.

4th - Rashida Tlaib v. Virgil Smith. You don't see a state rep challenge an incumbent in a primary very often. I think both have good chances of winning but I'm going to stick with Rashida on this one (I know some of you disagree).

5th - We have 3 current State Reps. (Knezek, Nathan, Stallworth) as well as a former rep. (Shanelle Jackson) with three others I have not heard of. I think Knezek takes this. I think he will out-raise and out-work the competition. Plus, he currently represents Dearborn Heights, Inkster, and Garden City while the other 3 all represent parts of the chunk of Detroit in the district.

11th - I think this is the hardest one to predict. Three solid candidates in Gregory, Barnett, and Lipton. While I can see them splitting the votes into thirds, I give Gregory the edge since he represents a bigger part of the district already and has the incumbent advantage.  


A random thought (0.00 / 0)
In SD 11 would either Lipton or Barnett drop out to run for SoS?  Both got into the race when Gregory was a candidate for the 14th CD, now that he 's running for reelection to the State Senate will that change the thinking of one of these term-limited State Reps?


[ Parent ]
A good idea. (4.00 / 2)
I think it would be good if one of them did. Not only is female leadership needed at the top of the ticket, but both candidates are from Oakland County which in my opinion is of utmost importance. If Dems can get out and vote in Oakland County, it would go a long way.  

[ Parent ]
Primaries (4.00 / 1)
Prediction: Smith demolishes Tlaib.  

[ Parent ]
Olumba (0.00 / 0)
I am so glad we'll be rid of Olumba, and so glad that Johnson will be the one ridding him of us.  I also find it hilarious Lemmons and his wife jumping in, which makes it even harder for Olumba to break through.

Man, I just noticed that there are eight Dems running for Olumba's house seat...and I don't recognize any of the names.

BTW, what's the chances of Brian Banks winning re-election in MI HD-1?  I was actually surprised he was able to survive after he was elected.  It's hard to push people out, but the claims against him were egregious.


[ Parent ]
Olumba (0.00 / 0)
I agree about Olumba. Will be glad to have him gone.

The only person I've seen anything about in that district is Clarence Gayles who has some experience on campaigns and I believed worked for Buzz Thomas.

I also hope Banks loses. Rebecca Thompson seems like an impressive candidate and has been making her rounds.


[ Parent ]
Congress (4.00 / 1)
I'm particularly interested in the congressional races, this year.  So, I was happy to see Dems put up a candidate for every seat, even MI-02, which was actually uncontested, last cycle.

Anything worth noting?  Well, looks like Jerry Cannon collected more signatures than either of his other potential GOP general election opponents.  I always say basic stuff like this at least shows the ability to organize.  In MI-03, Goodrich collected more signatures than Ellis or Amash.  In MI-04, Jeff Holmes and John Moolenaar turned in the 2,000 signature limit.  Given that I've never heard of Holmes, and given that it seems Barker is speaking for him, I thought it was fairly impressive for a Some Dude to be able to organize on such short notice.  Peter Konetchy seems to be cutting it close with just 1,300 signatures.  Pam Byrnes topped Walberg in MI-07 with signatures.  MI-08 (home!) looks like it's going to be crazy-busy on both sides, being the most heavily contested seat of the cycle.  I honestly hadn't expected all of the declared Dems to have made it.  I still think it's Schertzing's to lose, though.  I'm ecstatic that Tom McMillin made it on the Republican side.  

Looks like all four Dems made it in in MI-11.  I'm not sure who the front-runner is, here, in the Dem primary.  I don't think he makes it through, but I imagine a crowded primary with three other Dems splitting the left vote makes it easier for Bill Roberts to be seen as a serious candidate.  And I was a bit surprised everyone submitted the max amount of signatures save for Krazy Kerry.

In the two Detroit seats, it looks like Sheffield slithered his way in.  lol  And, it looks like Hobbs and Clarke are in in MI-14 to face off against Lawrence (I have no idea who Burgess Foster is).  I think Clarke actually filing makes this a little more interesting, perhaps makes it tougher for Lawrence in particular.

It appears that Huizenga and Miller are the only two incumbent Republicans without a contested primary.

All and all, I like what I see, though, I'd have liked to see an elected official put up in the 4th in the primary for the Dems.


Signature counts are NOT reliable (4.00 / 1)
The Bureau of elections requires candidates to submit an accurate count of the number of petition pages submitted but the signature count is the candidate's estimate and is not to be relied on.  The Bureau will later determine a signature count but the number on the candidate filings web site is never updated to show this number.


[ Parent ]
Not on much (0.00 / 0)
I was not relying on the signature count (claim) on much of anything beyond that fact that getting the signatures in, at all, shows some level of organization.  That said, I wouldn't expect candidates estimates to be that far off of what they actually submitted.  

BTW, I know that the bureau later goes on to determine a valid signature.  This, of course, is how McCotter got kicked off the ballot, and why it's getting more scrutiny than in past years.

Please, don't read too much into what I said on signatures.  I did think it was rather clear that I wasn't putting too much weight on it beyond noting that a lot of even low-tiered Dems seem to have more signatures (rather they end up being valid or not) than many of their Republicans opponents, which shows at least an level of effort you can add to the top of the pile of other factors in how motivated either side is.


[ Parent ]
The process? (0.00 / 0)
Hey Alan, I'd like to refer to this comment you made in the midst of the McCotter fiasco. You said at the time:

The Bureau of Elections did not review these signatures to verify that the signers are registered voters.  There are only three circumstances under which they would:
    (1) A recall petition.  Every signature on a recall petition is checked.
    (2) In the case of a statewide ballot initiative, only those signatures drawn as part of a sample from which validity is calculated.
    (3) Signatures challenged in a formal challenge.  So far as we know no challenge was filed.

You added:

The one thing the Bureau has done is to conduct what is called a 'face check.'  In this review, signatures may be disallowed only if they are invalid without any need to check the signer's registration status.  If a signer dates their signature after the circulator's date -- out.  If a signer does not include a street address -- out.  If a signer lists an address outside of the district -- out.

So, my impression is that the Bureau staff member samples a few sheets' worth of signatures and then "face-checks" them, and if it appears from that sample that there will be enough valid signatures, then all is good to go. So for someone who turns in 2,000 signatures, they might face-check 50 of them, and if 40 of them pass the check, then the candidate is on the ballot (since 40/50 = 80% and 80% of 2,000 = 1,600). I'm also of the impression that if the staffer doubts that enough signatures are actually valid, then there's a further review (involving other Bureau staff, I presume).

Do you know the exact procedure? Is it along the lines I described?

And what about candidates whose estimates are closer to the threshold - does the Bureau give them any extra scrutiny? Douglas North turned in 1,110, for example, while a couple only turned in 1,200.

Also, could you go into further detail about the challenge process? Can just anyone file a challenge on the signatures, or do they have to live in the district, be a registered voter, etc? And if so, how would that happen? (I do recall that a guy around here was kicked off the ballot in a State House race in 2012 due to a challenge from a local Democratic activist - I think the guy didn't even live in the district.)

Now on Great Lakes, Great Times, Great Scott: The Grand Rapids Press, which rarely endorses Democrats, backs Winnie Brinks


[ Parent ]
Face checks (4.00 / 3)
The Bureau face checks every page of every candidate petition.  The resulting count is the number presented to the state Board of Canvassers, but it is not used to update the candidate filings web page.

The face check may disqualify entire pages (if, for example the circulator fails to date or sign a page) or may disqualify individual signatures (if the voter signs in the wrong county or if no part of the voter's city or township is in the district, for example).  The face check is conducted as part of the Bureau's count of signatures submitted.  The number the staff comes up with is a count of signatures which, without checking for registration status or duplication, have been submitted.

All candidate petitions go through this process and nothing more.  It is up to opponents to look for duplicates, unregistered signers and signers in the wrong district.  The Bureau will only look for these itself on recall petitions.

Sampling only comes into play on initiative and referendum petitions.  The Bureau first conducts the face check to come up with a number for the total signatures apparently submitted.  It then draws a sample set of individual lines (not full pages) and checks registration status of the sample.  The percentage of 'good' signatures in the sample is then multiplied by that arrived-at total to produce a number to compare to the required number.  The size of the sample is larger if the margin is closer and the Bureau sometimes increases the size of the sample if it appears there will be a close call.  As with candidate petitions opponents may point out other problems.

I have always worked with opposing candidates to check candidate petitions, largely because they are willing to pay for a week of very intensive work, but I think anyone can file a challenge.  In the case of initiative and referendum petitions any voter has standing to challenge but of course the cost of reviewing several hundred thousand signatures is daunting.

Challenges to candidate petitions have to be filed this year by Tuesday, April 29.  The Bureau will not have completed its face checks by then so a challenger is well-advised to conduct that step first to see where the staff is likely to end up.  There is no harm in challenging signatures that the staff will drop anyway.  I have found that the Bureau's face checking, which is conducted by temporary staff, is rarely 100% complete.

The calendar for challenging initiative and referendum petitions is also very short and begins when the Bureau has completed its face check of a particular petition and has drawn its sample.  The Bureau does a good job of checking registration status in its sample so the only way in which we have ever been able to supplement their work is to check for duplicates.  If a signature in the sample is duplicated anywhere else on any sheet the signature is invalid.  In practice this requires looking up every voter on every sheet and preparing a database to match against the sample all within about a two-week period.  We have only done it once.

My point about the number on the web site is that there is no way to know how accurate it is.  Many candidates simply claim the maximum -- there is no penalty for being wrong and a higher estimate may scare off challenges.


[ Parent ]
Two points (0.00 / 0)
In 2012 we had a guy running in the 2nd but he dropped out due to health issues and didn't file. Then, a guy from Muskegon stepped up and got enough write-in votes in the primary to make it onto the general. We thankfully don't have to worry about that this time.

As for Clarke-Foster-Hobbs-Lawrence, notice that two of them - Clarke and Lawrence - also ran in 2012, each losing to Peters. Of those who voted for Peters in 2012 (and that was a majority!), I'd be surprised of those who voted for Clarke in 2012 voted for another candidate this August. Same with Lawrence. But those who supported Peters? It would seem (on paper) that they're the "up for grabs" vote.

One good thing about the 14th: While the incumbent is white, whoever succeeds him will be a racial minority. Obviously there's a lot more than race that should be considered, but we sure as heck need some more diversity in Congress right about now.

Now on Great Lakes, Great Times, Great Scott: The Grand Rapids Press, which rarely endorses Democrats, backs Winnie Brinks


[ Parent ]
Thanks (0.00 / 0)
Thanks for that correction on MI-02.  I'd be under the impression that no one had filed and he'd ran unopposed.

As for MI-14, my gut is telling me that with the focus more on female candidates and so-called women's issues than it has been in some recent cycles, and with Lawrence's EMILY's List backing, she's still the front runner. I think that Clarke's entry turns what could have been a coronation into something she'll have to work harder for, though.  

That said, I think Clarke probably does more harm to Hobbs than he does to Lawrence.  I don't mean to seem so down on Hobbs - I think he's running a very serious campaign and he'd make a good congressman.  I just don't think there is anything special enough about him to seperate him out from the pack.  In a district like this - one in which the primary is basically the election and the candidates pretty much agree on the issues - things really come down to intagibles like star power and personality, however fair or unfair that is, unless someone like Hobbs is able to find a specific issue that resonates with voters that he can seperate himself outside the pack with.

I guess another big thing in this race, now, will be endorsements.  We'll have to see where labor goes, and how badly Clarke burned his bridges in 2012.


[ Parent ]
Rudy's got an impressive list of endorsements (0.00 / 0)
... including both Governors Granholm and Blanchard, as well as a number of elected officials, clergy, and a few unions.

Lawrence's website makes no mention of endorsements, save for the EMILY's List one.

Note that many big names in labor - AFL-CIO, UAW, MEA, Teamsters, etc. - haven't endorsed, as far as I can tell. I'd think that being a former teacher, Hobbs might be the frontrunner for the MEA's backing, but that's not much more than a hunch on my part.

And of course, it's one thing for an entity to endorse - it's another thing altogether for said entity to do more than that (i.e. fundraising, canvassing, etc.)

Now on Great Lakes, Great Times, Great Scott: The Grand Rapids Press, which rarely endorses Democrats, backs Winnie Brinks


[ Parent ]
I don't discount his endorsements (0.00 / 0)
and it is clear he was able to leverage those early endorsements into early fundraising strength.

However, at the end of the day, if the vast majority of voters don't know you and there aren't the resources or opportunities to get them to know you... then that's all she wrote.

In addition to the EMILY's List endorsement, on social media Brenda Lawrence has referenced endorsements from the Mayors of Pontiac and Oak Park, as well as the West Bloomfield Township Supervisor.  

Great Lakes, Great Times.


[ Parent ]
Don't expect many labor (0.00 / 0)
Endorsements for Brenda, her showing up for that labor event in a Japanese car earlier, upset a lot of people, it's a huge no no

[ Parent ]
I believe Peters won 47% in 2012 -- (4.00 / 1)
so a plurality, technically.  

He won commanding numbers in Oakland County.  That is how he carried the 14th District.  Lawrence came in second in Oakland County over Clarke.  Most of Lawrence's vote haul districtwide came from Oakland.  

The points raised by Scott and MiddleGrand are good ones: To which candidate do the primary voters in Pontiac, West Bloomfield, Farmington Hills, Oak Park et al go migrate toward in 2014?  In those communities (as well as Sylvan Lake, Keego Harbor and Orchard Lake, but they are essentially one precinct hamlets) Gary Peters took the lion's share.

Bearing in mind that I support Brenda Lawrence for this district in which I live, here is my take on those points:

My assessment is that Brenda Lawrence is best poised to appeal to that Pontiac, West Bloomfield, Farmington Hills, Oak Park et al primary electorate.  

The field is Hansen Clarke, Foster Burgess, Rudy Hobbs and Brenda Lawrence.  The voters in the aforementioned communities have limited familiarity with Clarke and no familiarity with Hobbs.  They are very familiar with Lawrence.  Burgess is an also-ran from Detroit that will not be a factor in Oakland County.

We aren't operating in a static environment, so this can change -- but we are operating in a finite, limited window of opportunity.  Hansen Clarke has literally no campaign funds as of a few weeks ago.  He also does not appear to have a campaign apparatus yet in place.  Such are the perils of late entries.  

Rudy Hobbs has spent a ton of his raised funds in the year that he has been running.  From what I can tell, apart from the Facebook ads he purchased to boost his page likes, none of that has been spent on voter contact.  Now, he has the same cash on hand as Brenda Lawrence; $30,000 or so of what he has remaining must be designated for the general election.  She outraised him in the past two quarters.

Clarke won Detroit and Wayne County solidly in 2012.  I am not from that domain, so I can't give as firm an assessment of how the voters (and activists) are feeling about Clarke and his recent absence from the scene.  There is no discounting that he is a known name in many parts of the Wayne County portion of the 14th.  

Peters was able to shave off more of the margin in Wayne than Clarke was able to shave off of Oakland.  In 2012, Lawrence was not an active presence in the Wayne County portion of the district and the votes reflect that.  It is worth watching how much traction Lawrence is able to gain in Detroit, Hamtramck, Harper Woods and the Grosse Pointes in 2014 leading up to primary election day.  

Great Lakes, Great Times.


[ Parent ]
Lawrence (4.00 / 1)
I'm so bullish on Lawrence's chances, because I believe she was born and raised on the east side of Detroit - something she brought up often in her run for lt. gov. and congress - but also pulls from Southfield and the areas thereabouts because of her long tenure as mayor.

Hobbs was also born and largely raised on the east side of Detroit, though, I believe his family moved to Southfield when he was a teen, so his connection to the Detroit part of this district is more tenuous than Lawrence's.

IMO, Clarke just seems like a spoiler this time around unless he can rebuild his support.  All the reports I heard is that Clarke was pissed when a lot of major groups in the Detroit part of this district ended up getting behind Peters really early, and he began showing his displeasure by simply not showing up at candidate events.  It was a really bad look for him.  He'll get a not insignificant chunk of the vote on name recognition alone, probably, but it's not going to be enough to win.


[ Parent ]
Lawrence-Hobbs-Clarke (0.00 / 0)
First of all, I don't think Hobbs or Lawrence will end up with an advantage over the other in the fundraising realm. Lawrence has been able to raise a little more than Hobbs the last two quarters but with 4 months left, I don't think anyone is going to surpass the other by a large amount to where it makes a difference.

Let me preface what I'm about to say with the fact that I'm assuming he is going to work hard and is able to fund raise a decent amount in the time left. But, I think Hansen Clarke has a real upset chance here. Hobbs and Lawrence are both Oakland County (Southfield in particular) dems. While Lawrence has some name recognition in Detroit and the surrounding areas, we can't forget that Hansen represented a large chunk of these people before.

It's very possible that Hobbs and Lawrence split the large amount of voters in Southfield/Farmington Hills/Oak Park, while Clarke gets the majority of votes from the east side of Detroit which he used to represent and where he lives. I think he would have a much better chance if he had entered this race in January and had raised money, but it will be interesting to watch.  


[ Parent ]
on name rec (0.00 / 0)
Hansen really does have the most in the district, but can he fund raise and build a good staff between now and august, him and walking out of his campaign rallying election night without saying a word, burn the hell outta a lot if his 2012 supporters. For Brenda and Rudy they have the most name rec in Southfield and most of it is positive I would think, however outside of Southfield Brenda name rec may not be good name rec I've seen a lot if wrinkled noses when talking about Brenda and this race with people from outside Southfield. It seem like a lot people see her as a perennial candidate and a losing one at that.

[ Parent ]
In the 11th District Primary (4.00 / 3)
Bill Roberts was unknown in 2012, and as a LaRouche disciple every active Democrat discounted and dismissed him.

This was a mistake, demonstrated when Roberts got 41.1% in a two-man primary with Dr. Syed Taj.

This time, Roberts is NOT unknown, meaning more Democrats will know his LaRouche roots and not support him.

And it's now a four-person primary. If it were just Roberts vs. Dr. Anil Kumar, Roberts might have once again punched well above his looney-tunes weight class simply by having the "American-sounding name."

Add Nancy Skinner and Bobby McKenzie to the mix, and Roberts' chances fade to insignificance -- maybe even single digits since all three campaigns will work to define and marginalize him.

"The two most common elements in the universe are hydrogen and stupidity." ~ Harlan Ellison


[ Parent ]
sorry for the double post (0.00 / 0)


"The two most common elements in the universe are hydrogen and stupidity." ~ Harlan Ellison


[ Parent ]
See, I've been wondering about that (0.00 / 0)
[ Parent ]
(Take 2) I've been wondering about that (4.00 / 2)
On the one hand, perhaps a crowded field could make it easier for the LaRouchies to get their candidate in. On the other hand, I'd be surprised if LaRouchies really make up that much of a bloc - and they probably comprised a small share of Roberts's vote in 2012 (and will again in 2014).

In addition to marginalizing him, I'd expect the other candidates to put in so much more effort touting their own backgrounds than did Taj in 2012.

Now on Great Lakes, Great Times, Great Scott: The Grand Rapids Press, which rarely endorses Democrats, backs Winnie Brinks


[ Parent ]
Your analysis is spot-on (4.00 / 3)
Roberts is counting on people not knowing about his affilation with LaRouche or the fact that his views are off the visible portion of the political spectrum.

Which is why his campaign workers, who I saw collecting signatures outside the Canton Public Library, didn't carry any Roberts literature and answered questions about what he stood for in the vaguest possible terms.

What I can't figure out is how Roberts and his workers got sucked into a junior-varsity cult like the LaRouchies in the first place.

A government that robs Peter to pay Paul can always count on the support of Paul.


[ Parent ]
In the 11th District Primary (4.00 / 1)
Bill Roberts was unknown in 2012, and as a LaRouche disciple every active Democrat discounted and dismissed him.

This was a mistake, demonstrated when Roberts got 41.1% in a two-man primary with Dr. Syed Taj.

This time, Roberts is NOT unknown, meaning more Democrats will know his LaRouche roots and not support him.

And it's now a four-person primary. If it were just Roberts vs. Dr. Anil Kumar, Roberts might have once again punched well above his looney-tunes weight class simply by having the "American-sounding name."

Add Nancy Skinner and Bobby McKenzie to the mix, and Roberts' chances fade to insignificance -- maybe even single digits since all three campaigns will work to define and marginalize him.

"The two most common elements in the universe are hydrogen and stupidity." ~ Harlan Ellison


[ Parent ]
Teaser from my Examiner.com article on candidates filing in Washtenaw County (4.00 / 2)
Candidates for federal and state office in Washtenaw County meet filing deadline
Earth Day was not just a day to celebrate the environment here in Michigan.  It was also the deadline for candidates of the two major parties seeking partisan political office to file their petitions or pay their filing fees.  This meant that people running as either Democrats or Republicans for positions from Senator and Governor down to City Council and Township Supervisor had to get their application to the Secretary of State for statewide office or the County Clerk by 4:00 P.M. for all other offices to get their names on the ballot for the August 5th primary.

Four candidates for federal and state office waited until the final hours to do so, as the Michigan Secretary of State shows that Democrat Pam Byrnes and Republican Stephen Farkas, who are running for Congress in the 7th and 12th Districts respectively, and Republicans Ed Moore and Leonard Burke, who are running for State House in the 54th and 55th Districts respectively, all filed on the 22nd.

As the situation stands now, there will be contested primary elections for the Republican nominees for both Congressional districts, where Douglas Radcliffe North is challenging incumbent Tim Walberg in the 7th and Terry Bowman and Stephen Farkas are facing off in the 12th, and for the 54th State House District, where Ed Moore and John Nazars will see who gets to take on incumbent David Rutledge.  There will also be a contested primary for the Democratic nomination for the 12th Congressional District with Ray Mullins challenging Debbie Dingell, the wife of incumbent John Dingell.

List of candidates and a photo of U.S. Senate candidate Gary Peters delivering nominating petitions at the link in the headline.

Originally posted as Examiner.com article on candidates meeting Earth Day filing deadline part 1 at Crazy Eddie's Motie News.

Greetings from Detroit, Ground Zero of the post-industrial future!


Follow-up with local offices (0.00 / 0)
County and municipal candidates in Washtenaw County filed by Earth Day
In addition to the candidates for federal and state offices who had to meet the Earth Day filing deadline for the August 5th primary.  Major party candidates for county and municipal offices up for election this year also needed to file by 4:00 P.M. Tuesday with the Washtenaw County Clerk as well.

Independent candidates can still appear on the November ballot, but they must file by July 17th.
...
No Republicans filed for Mayor or City Council in Ann Arbor and Ypsilanti, only Democrats.  That means that, absent an independent challenger, the winner of the Democratic primary in August will run unopposed in November.



Greetings from Detroit, Ground Zero of the post-industrial future!

[ Parent ]
A guy from Ypsi is running for the U.S. House seat in the 5th District (0.00 / 0)
Alan Hardwick, who has lived in Ypsi for five years, filed to run as a Republican in the 5th because he thinks his chances are better there.

Hardwick has a pretty high opinion of himself, too:

"It's just a calling (to run for Congress). I actually wanted to run for Senate and said no I need to start a little bit lower. I want to make a difference in Washington. I think that's where the problem is,"


A government that robs Peter to pay Paul can always count on the support of Paul.

No longer a 3-way race for the GOP nom in MI-08 (0.00 / 0)
The Secretary of State page shows that Barnett has withdrawn.  It's now between Bishop and McMillin.  BTW, Bishop is using a Brighton address.  Looks like we know who's serious about Livingston County.

The other shoe has dropped, as McMillin has withdrawn from the 13th State Senate District race.  The GOP nom will be among Knollenberg, Raczkowski, and Moss with some guys and some Gui rounding out the field.

There are a bunch of other withdrawals, including Stephen Farkas in the GOP primary for the 12th District.  I should chase that story down, as it happened in my beat.

Greetings from Detroit, Ground Zero of the post-industrial future!



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