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| Latest hand-selected Michigan political news and analysis headlines |
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Fri Aug 26, 2005 at 01:00:00 AM EDT
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Alan Fox (interview
with Matt Ferguson, June, 2005):
MF: McDowell is over on the eastern edge of the U.P. and is one of the
new people elected in 2004. What's his outlook for '06?
AF: That district looks like a fairly typical U.P. district - the
eastern U.P. has always been more Republican than the rest of the U.P.
and that's been the seat that Republicans have held from time to time -
sometimes for quite a while. McDowell won an open seat with 53% of the
vote even though he ran 11-points ahead of John Kerry, who got 42%.
Kerry's strength probably understates Democratic core strength in that
district - but not by 8, 9 or 10 points - so that probably is a
Republican district. McDowell had the advantage of running against a
Republican incumbent who was coming in perceived as very strong and a
likely winner and turned out to fizzle when he got into the election.
That was Walter North, the former Senator. McDowell's got some strength
of his own and he may well be able to
survive, but that's got to be far at the top of the Republicans wish
list and they've got a core of people they can draw from to go after
that seat and I think it's going to be one they try to get. |
| matt :: Analysis |
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