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Sun Aug 28, 2005 at 01:00:00 AM EDT
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Alan Fox (interview
with Matt Ferguson, September, 2005):
MF: By the numbers it appears Sen. Prusi is the most
vulnerable Senate Democrat. But it's the Upper Peninsula....
AF: It's the U.P. There are only two districts that are held
by Democrats which Bush won in 2004. The Prusi district, which is most of the
Upper Peninsula, is one of them. As I said in looking at the House races, the
Upper Peninsula is one of those places where the Kerry strength actually
understates core Democratic percentages. Prusi was elected in 2002 with over
60% of the vote. Kerry, even though he was weaker in the U.P. than he should
have been still got 49%. So while on paper that looks like a big Republican
opportunity, it probably isn't.
MF: Would you be surprised to see Republicans focus
resources on that district?
AF: I think it would be unlikely that they would put a lot
of resources into it. They never have. They don't have much of a farm system
there producing good candidates. It's been a long time since that's been a
contested seat in any shape and I think Republicans are going to have to put
most of their resources into defending existing seats. Looking for a place to
increase their majority is not going to end up being their priority. |
| matt :: Analysis |
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